November 27, 2009
Crisis (confidence) between the political parties fueling sectarian and ethnic differences ..
Postponement of The Elections is Inevitable and a political crisis - a constitutional Iraq will face next year
Iraq News 27/11/2009 Baghdad / agencies
Can no longer postpone difficult to predict the next parliamentary elections after a delay of Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi response to the amendments made by the House of Representatives election law, which may announce during Eid al-Adha according to confirmed sources close to al-Hashemi.
Hashemi, who hinted to renew the veto, begun to be subjected to pressure double of the year and parliament alike.
Sunnis hold him some loss of seats from Sunni-dominated provinces, including Nineveh province, which lost three seats after the amendment, as well as the seats lost by the provinces of Diyala and Anbar and Salah al-Din al-Hashemi Vihm The Parliament of playing disruptive to narrow partisan purposes.
Parliament was held on 23 November under an amendment to the election law after the veto, Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi, considering it "unfair" to those displaced do not take into account the number of the approximately four million displaced, but the new parliamentary amendment did not address the problem of the displaced and their representation, but came on Quite contrary to what wants Hashemi.
During the amendment by the Council of Deputies seats reduce the provinces of Nineveh, Anbar, Diyala, Salahuddin, Kirkuk, Nineveh, as the share is now 28 seats instead of 31 seats in parliament, while reduced to 13 seats in Anbar province instead of 14, as well as with the Governorate of Diyala, which has reduced the seats 13 to 12, and Salah ad Din province, which lost one seat.
The Kurds have caught up with gains in the number of seats, as it was to add three seats for the Kurdish province of Sulaimaniya in accordance with the said amendment, which added population growth rate to 2.8 percent after it was zero.
On the other side stopped the Electoral Commission of all its proceedings pending the position of Hashemi after the amendment, which promised a decision in the chapter elections at the end of next January or postponed to February at best.
And Abdul-Karim al-Samarrai, the former leader of the Islamic Party, one of Congress list of "renewal", led by al-Hashemi said the latter seriously considering a veto of law, not because of the fact that the amendments did not reach the required degree, but "because it resulted in some loss of parliamentary seats in provinces depend upon the list. "
"It seemed as if the amendment and the death of Hashemi and not to set aside the desire for justice, as it has been reduced seats the Sunni provinces, therefore, overturn the law would be inevitable."
House Speaker Iyad al-Samarrai was also quick to confirm the postponement of the elections last Wednesday, said in a press statement that "the elections will not be before the end of February or beginning of March next, will be extended if the law is reversed back to the end of March, there will be risks because there is a series of procedures can not be reduced by the Commission, which will start from scratch. "
Samurai also warned that postponing the elections would result in a constitutional vacuum, demanding the prime minister to protect the Constitution and fill the vacuum that would leave the end of the parliamentary session on March 15 of next year.
Requiring the postponement of elections to hold a constitutional amendment allowing the extension of the parliament and the government to weeks later so as not to end the constitutional period of assessments for the work of the parliament of the country is living without a government or parliament for months later before a new government.
The Presidency Council must approve the law or rejected within 15 days of approval, and that the Constitution refers to the need to take the Presidency Council, consisting of President Jalal Talabani and his two deputies Adel Abdul Mahdi and Tariq al-Hashimi, its decisions by consensus, not majority, and any member of the Presidency Council overturn the law
But the Constitution provides for the possibility of overturn the law only twice, and returned to the House of Representatives, which can pass by three-fifths of the House of Representatives, ie 165 out of 275 deputies.
Need to veto the second about 60 percent of the votes of Parliament, three-fifths of the members of parliament, for approval to repeal the veto if passed in the second, which makes it difficult to address the veto because it requires a consensus to achieve the rate that allows the manipulation of veto.
Parliament is still suffering from the sharp divisions can not achieve a rate of 60 percent to accept the veto or reject it, in case it takes place, which may force him to return to the Elections Act of 2005 and the acceptance by all Hfouath, or to postpone the elections next February or March.
The Electoral Commission which carried al-Hashemi and parliament for delaying the parliamentary elections Vaiguent other is that the elections in January are in the process impossible, Valsagaf time minimum threshold to be able to hold elections in order to conform with international standards and which must be at least in the worst case of 60 election day pay a month in February in the event of the end of the crisis and the approval of the amendment al-Hashemi.
As in the case of repeat-Hashimi overturn the law will be House Speaker predictions closer to reality, where elections will be held next March, because the amendment procedure again or set aside the veto will not be easy.
He says a member of the Board of Commissioners Judge Qasim slave that holding the election on the date specified in advance by the Federal Court and the House is "an act of imagination," and that "the elections will go according to the reverse counting, it will be fully sixty days after the law was passed, since the law would not be approved before the beginning of January if it had been approved by the Presidency, the date of the election will be in February next.
"We now predict the specific day is difficult before the end of the crisis, the election law, and we warned earlier complacency on this side."
The problem is the veto to delay the elections that are seen as certain, but in a constitutional vacuum that has lost all its powers and institutions of the State Government will turn to the caretaker government and the end of the parliamentary session on 15 March next, which is a potentially significant problems in various fields and the most important security aspect.
The Deputy Prime Minister Rafie al-Issawi, known for his moderate political circles and who has the status of A good inter-Shiite lawmakers, he stressed the need to be "to prevent crisis, and reach understandings to prevent re-overturn the law."
Issawi assurances came during a joint meeting with a delegation from the U.S. Embassy and the United Nations Mission in Iraq, where they discussed the repercussions of the adoption of the electoral law, which some thought it might return to the political process back to square one.
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